Saxo Bank's Outrageous Predictions 2025
What will the new year bring? Many people ask themselves this question around New Year's Eve with regard to private, professional and financial developments. With regard to the financial market situation, financial institutions are therefore venturing to take a look at the crystal ball. Saxo Bank's daring, polarizing “Outrageous Predictions” are particularly well known, but they are intended to be food for thought rather than a concrete forecast. Find out which earth-shattering developments the Danes predict in 2025.
Saxo Bank has been oracles for over 20 years
The tradition of “outrageous predictions” began in 2003 and has quickly become a Saxo Bank trademark. The aim of the often highly exaggerated forecasts, which are unlikely but theoretically possible, is primarily to initiate thought processes. The provocative forecasts published annually include events of global significance — particularly on financial markets in the broadest sense.
The most important predictions for 2025
For 2025, Saxo Bank is summarizing its Outrageous Predictions together: “The year 2025 promises to be a year full of challenges and surprises.” For example, with regard to these daring predictions:
Thanks Trump: Dollar is wavering, crypto is booming
The 2024 US presidential election caused massive shocks on the markets, particularly following Donald Trump's election victory. For example, Bitcoin rose above the “magic” limit of 100,000 dollars for the first time. According to Saxo Bank, Trump's inauguration in 2025 could further catapult the crypto market to over ten trillion dollars, while the US dollar loses drastically in return — by 20% against major currencies and by 30% against gold. The reason for this could be Trump's planned trade strategies: Through high import tariffs and a “Department of Government Efficiency” (DOGE) led by Elon Musk, domestic production should be strengthened and the trade deficit reduced. But these measures could destabilize international trade and severely disrupt the global supply of US dollars. While the USA is benefiting economically, the rest of the world is increasingly turning to alternative currencies such as cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.
Nvidia twice as valuable as Apple
According to Outrageous Predictions, Nvidia, the undisputed leader in AI computing, could set new standards in terms of innovation and market capitalization by 2025. With the revolutionary Blackwell chip, which promises a 25-fold increase in efficiency in AI calculations, the company could fuel a global arms race in the AI sector. The chip attracts not only companies, but also governments, which are increasingly investing in cutting-edge, energy-efficient technologies. This unwavering demand could make Nvidia the most profitable company of all time: With a record profit that surpasses even Apple's previous record of 105 billion dollars, and a market capitalization of seven trillion dollars. Accordingly, the share price could rise to over 250 dollars per share certificate and finally make Nvidia the dominant force in the technology sector.
Opec is on the brink of end
According to Saxo Bank's forecast, the Opec oil cartel (with Algeria, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iraq, Iran, Congo, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and the United Arab Emirates) is losing importance. The reason is the growth of renewable energies, an enormous e-car boom and the associated fall in oil prices.
First heart from a 3D printer
A biologically printed human heart promises to alleviate the global shortage of donor organs. This breakthrough medical innovation paves the way to extend human life expectancy by replacing failing organs with tailor-made, fully compatible organs.
Saxo Bank describes the potential impact on the market as follows: “The success in bio-printed organs is skyrocketing growth expectations for the biotechnology and 3D printing industries. Most companies in this sector are in the start-up phase, so a series of initial public offerings can be expected. ”
These Outrageous Predictions came true
The past shows that one should definitely pay attention to Saxo Bank's statements - although the forecasts have usually not been exactly as true. For example Did the Danes predict a massive financial crisis in 2008, which actually happened when Lehman Brothers collapsed and shook the global economy.
Auch Saxo predicted a drastic rise in Bitcoin in 2017, driven by Trump's high government spending, rising inflation and the move away from central bank-controlled currencies. The forecast came true with a record high of almost 20,000 US dollars at the end of 2017. Although speculation drove the boom more than macroeconomic factors, subsequent developments in 2021 and 2024 confirmed the underlying arguments.
For In 2022, the bank oraclesthat policymakers would throw climate goals overboard and support investments in fossil fuels to combat inflation and the risk of social unrest while rethinking the path to a low-carbon future. As a result, prices for fossil fuels would rise sharply. In the end, the forecast became reality - but due to the Ukraine war.
The “Outrageous Predictions” are dismissed as a marketing strategy by some, but appreciated by others as exciting and valuable thought experiments. Whatever you think of it, FINEXITY wishes you a happy, healthy and successful start to 2025!
